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Naoki Nakagawa vs Henrique Rocha Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Nakagawa vs Rocha analysis and find out who is favored!

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Naoki Nakagawa vs Henrique Rocha Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Nakagawa 2 - 0 Rocha

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Nakagawa has won 46.85% of points on their second serve, while Rocha has won 51.3%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Nakagawa, in recent form, has won 44.49% of their opponent's second serve points, while Rocha has won 48.45%. The same stats for first serve returns are 37.18% and 34.14% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Nakagawa has saved 63.64% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Rocha has saved 62.17% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Nakagawa has won 66.67% of matches played (W/L 32/ 16), with Rocha winning 63.86% (W/L 53/ 30) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Nakagawa has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 62% (W/L 178/ 110), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 47% (W/L 8/ 9). Rocha has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 67% (W/L 64/ 31), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 20% (W/L 1/ 4).
  • Player level: In the last year, Nakagawa has played most of their matches on the Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments $10K, winning 79.41% of matches (W/L 27/ 7), where as Rocha has played most of their matches on the Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments $10K, winning 82.5% of matches (W/L 33/ 7). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Nakagawa winning 2 times and Rocha being victorious 0 times. They have played 4 sets in total, with Nakagawa winning 4 and Rocha winning 0. The last match between Nakagawa and Rocha was at the M25 Quinta Do Lago, 11-03-2023, Semifinals, Hard with Naoki Nakagawa getting the victory 7-6(5) 6-4.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:47:0.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Nakagawa and Rocha have played a deciding set 0 times, with Nakagawa winning 0 times and Rocha 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Nakagawa winning 1, and Rocha 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Nakagawa has played against opponents with an average rank of 166.96 while Rocha has played against players with an average rank of 247.81.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Nakagawa has won 56% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Rocha has won 63% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Nakagawa has converted 41.27% of breakpoint opportunities, and Rocha has converted 40% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
bet365
Naoki Nakagawa

5

Total

0

Mast

0

Chall

0

Slam

0

Main

5

Minor

439

Rank

334

High

27

Age

R

Plays

2

Total

0

2

Hard

0

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

177

Rank

174

High

20

Age

Plays

Henrique Rocha

7

Total

0

Mast

1

Chall

0

Slam

0

Main

6

Minor

2

Total

0

2

Hard

0

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

L L L L W L W W W L

Form

W L W W W W L L W L

61% (298-193)

Career Total W/L

59% (106-74)

50% (4-4)

YTD W/L

54% (20-17)

$0

Career Prize Money

$6,035

0

YTD Titles

1

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Nakagawa VS Rocha H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Naoki Nakagawa Henrique Rocha
All H2H Matches 2 0
Sets Won 4 0
Games Won 25 18
Aces (Total) 10 6
DFs Total 3 7
Avg Match Time 1:47:0 1:47:0
1st Serve % 51% (68/134) 68% (106/157)
1st Serve Win% 82% (56/68) 60% (64/106)
2nd Serve Win% 45% (30/66) 49% (25/51)
BPs Won% (Total) 29% (6/21) 50% (3/6)
Return Points W% 43% (68/157) 36% (48/134)
Best of 3 Sets W% 100% (2/2) 0% (0/2)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 100% (2/2) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, L 0% (2/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set L, W 0% (0/0) 0% (2/0)

Nakagawa VS Rocha H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
7-6(5) 6-4
cross
Naoki Nakagawa
Player
Henrique Rocha
49% ( 35 of 71)
1st Serve %
63% ( 50 of 79)
7
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
2
80% ( 28 of 35)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 28 of 50)
47% ( 17 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
62% ( 18 of 29)
27% ( 3 of 11)
Break Points Won
100% ( 2 of 2)
37% ( 26 of 71)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 33 of 79)
78
Total Points Won
72
6-4 6-4
cross
Naoki Nakagawa
Player
Henrique Rocha
52% ( 33 of 63)
1st Serve %
72% ( 56 of 78)
3
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
5
85% ( 28 of 33)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 36 of 56)
43% ( 13 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 7 of 22)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
35% ( 22 of 63)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 35 of 78)
76
Total Points Won
65

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Naoki Nakagawa Henrique Rocha
YTD W/L 50% (4/4) 54% (20/17)
Sets Win/Loss 53% (10/9) 52% (46/42)
Games Win/Loss 52% (96/87) 50% (438/432)
Hard Win/Loss 50% (4/4) 60% (6/4)
Clay Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 57% (12/9)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 33% (1/2)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 33% (1/2)
Aces pg 0.53 0.34
Aces Total 48 147
DFs per game 0.24 0.33
DFs Total 22 139
Avg Match Time 2:1:24 1:50:12
Avg Opp Rank 56.38 256.14
1st Serve % 51% (302/588) 55% (1498/2732)
1st Serve W% 74% (224/302) 70% (1046/1498)
2nd Serve W% 47% (134/286) 51% (633/1234)
BPs Won% Total 41% (26/63) 40% (108/270)
Return Pts W% 40% (237/591) 39% (1122/2841)
Slam W/L 0% (0/0) 33% (1/2)
Masters W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 100% (1/0)
Main Tour W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/1)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/2) 54% (14/12)
Futures W/L 67% (4/2) 67% (4/2)
Best of 3 Sets W% 57% (4/7) 54% (20/37)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/1) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 33% (1/3) 53% (8/15)
Deciding Set W% 50% (1/2) 57% (8/14)
1st set W, W 75% (4/3) 81% (21/17)
1st set W, L 25% (4/1) 19% (21/4)
1st set L, W 25% (4/1) 19% (16/3)

Naoki Nakagawa Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
SF
cross
Masamichi Imamura
Player
Naoki Nakagawa
56% ( 33 of 59)
1st Serve %
62% ( 37 of 60)
4
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
2
76% ( 25 of 33)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 26 of 37)
65% ( 17 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 8 of 23)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
29% ( 17 of 59)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 26 of 60)
68
Total Points Won
51
L
7-5 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Naoki Nakagawa
Player
Chan-Yeong Oh
47% ( 42 of 89)
1st Serve %
70% ( 65 of 93)
13
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
1
83% ( 35 of 42)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 35 of 65)
53% ( 25 of 47)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 15 of 28)
50% ( 6 of 12)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
33% ( 29 of 89)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 43 of 93)
103
Total Points Won
79
W
6-7(6) 6-0 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Naoki Nakagawa
Player
Woobin Shin
49% ( 36 of 73)
1st Serve %
66% ( 53 of 80)
7
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
1
75% ( 27 of 36)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 32 of 53)
51% ( 19 of 37)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 13 of 27)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
60% ( 3 of 5)
37% ( 27 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 35 of 80)
81
Total Points Won
72
W
7-5 7-6(3) H2H
R1
cross
Naoki Nakagawa
Player
Geun Jun Kim
46% ( 33 of 71)
1st Serve %
55% ( 36 of 65)
6
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
3
85% ( 28 of 33)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 20 of 36)
39% ( 15 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 13 of 29)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
14% ( 1 of 7)
39% ( 28 of 71)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 32 of 65)
75
Total Points Won
61
W
6-2 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Gastao Elias
Player
Naoki Nakagawa
57% ( 61 of 107)
1st Serve %
52% ( 66 of 128)
3
Aces
4
6
Double Faults
6
64% ( 39 of 61)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 44 of 66)
54% ( 25 of 46)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 27 of 62)
19% ( 3 of 16)
Break Points Won
44% ( 4 of 9)
40% ( 43 of 107)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 57 of 128)
121
Total Points Won
114
L
7-6(4) 5-7 4-3 ret. H2H
R1
cross
Naoki Nakagawa
Player
Gianmarco Ferrari
55% ( 24 of 44)
1st Serve %
57% ( 27 of 47)
4
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
5
92% ( 22 of 24)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 16 of 27)
55% ( 11 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 9 of 20)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
25% ( 11 of 44)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 22 of 47)
55
Total Points Won
36
W
6-1 6-3 H2H
Q1
cross
Rigele Te
Player
Naoki Nakagawa
55% ( 49 of 89)
1st Serve %
56% ( 40 of 71)
9
Aces
4
3
Double Faults
2
65% ( 32 of 49)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 24 of 40)
63% ( 25 of 40)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 17 of 31)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
25% ( 3 of 12)
36% ( 32 of 89)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 30 of 71)
87
Total Points Won
73
L
4-6 6-1 6-4 H2H
Q1
cross
Chun Hsin Tseng
Player
Naoki Nakagawa
61% ( 31 of 51)
1st Serve %
46% ( 24 of 52)
5
Aces
6
1
Double Faults
1
77% ( 24 of 31)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 18 of 24)
70% ( 14 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 12 of 28)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
25% ( 13 of 51)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 22 of 52)
60
Total Points Won
43
L
6-3 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Chak Lam Coleman Wong
Player
Naoki Nakagawa
53% ( 46 of 86)
1st Serve %
62% ( 61 of 99)
10
Aces
9
3
Double Faults
1
83% ( 38 of 46)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 44 of 61)
60% ( 24 of 40)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 18 of 38)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
28% ( 24 of 86)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 37 of 99)
99
Total Points Won
86
L
6-2 6-7(5) 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Andres Martin
Player
Naoki Nakagawa
65% ( 50 of 77)
1st Serve %
64% ( 58 of 90)
10
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
1
76% ( 38 of 50)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 35 of 58)
44% ( 12 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
72% ( 23 of 32)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
60% ( 3 of 5)
35% ( 27 of 77)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 32 of 90)
82
Total Points Won
85
L
7-6(5) 1-6 6-2 H2H

Henrique Rocha Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
Q2
cross
Mark Lajal
Player
Henrique Rocha
66% ( 47 of 71)
1st Serve %
66% ( 44 of 67)
12
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
2
81% ( 38 of 47)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 31 of 44)
58% ( 14 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 11 of 23)
33% ( 1 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
27% ( 19 of 71)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 25 of 67)
77
Total Points Won
61
L
7-6(3) 6-3 H2H
Q1
cross
Henrique Rocha
Player
Jaime Faria
59% ( 45 of 76)
1st Serve %
58% ( 52 of 89)
4
Aces
10
1
Double Faults
6
87% ( 39 of 45)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 36 of 52)
58% ( 18 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
68% ( 25 of 37)
0% ( 0 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
25% ( 19 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
31% ( 28 of 89)
85
Total Points Won
80
W
7-6(5) 7-6(5) H2H
R1
cross
Gregoire Barrere
Player
Henrique Rocha
63% ( 56 of 89)
1st Serve %
56% ( 49 of 88)
3
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
7
71% ( 40 of 56)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 37 of 49)
64% ( 21 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 18 of 39)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
31% ( 28 of 89)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 33 of 88)
94
Total Points Won
83
L
6-7(2) 6-3 6-2 H2H
F
cross
Kamil Majchrzak
Player
Henrique Rocha
63% ( 52 of 83)
1st Serve %
62% ( 43 of 69)
4
Aces
8
2
Double Faults
3
63% ( 33 of 52)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 30 of 43)
52% ( 16 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
31% ( 8 of 26)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
41% ( 34 of 83)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 31 of 69)
80
Total Points Won
72
L
6-0 2-6 6-3 H2H
SF
cross
Henrique Rocha
Player
Jozef Kovalik
59% ( 43 of 73)
1st Serve %
63% ( 38 of 60)
8
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
2
77% ( 33 of 43)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 26 of 38)
53% ( 16 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 11 of 22)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 6)
33% ( 24 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 23 of 60)
72
Total Points Won
61
W
6-3 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Henrique Rocha
Player
Norbert Gombos
64% ( 52 of 81)
1st Serve %
48% ( 31 of 65)
3
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
8
71% ( 37 of 52)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 21 of 31)
45% ( 13 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 11 of 34)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 10)
38% ( 31 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 33 of 65)
83
Total Points Won
63
W
6-3 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Henrique Rocha
Player
Albert Ramos-Vinolas
47% ( 51 of 108)
1st Serve %
64% ( 70 of 109)
7
Aces
3
8
Double Faults
1
76% ( 39 of 51)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 43 of 70)
49% ( 28 of 57)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 19 of 39)
31% ( 5 of 16)
Break Points Won
33% ( 4 of 12)
38% ( 41 of 108)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 47 of 109)
114
Total Points Won
103
W
7-6(6) 5-7 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Henrique Rocha
Player
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
46% ( 33 of 71)
1st Serve %
68% ( 45 of 66)
5
Aces
1
8
Double Faults
1
82% ( 27 of 33)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 28 of 45)
50% ( 19 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 10 of 21)
100% ( 3 of 3)
Break Points Won
9% ( 1 of 11)
35% ( 25 of 71)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 28 of 66)
74
Total Points Won
63
W
6-4 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Luka Mikrut
Player
Henrique Rocha
43% ( 27 of 63)
1st Serve %
53% ( 21 of 40)
3
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
2
70% ( 19 of 27)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 14 of 21)
56% ( 20 of 36)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 6 of 19)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
38% ( 24 of 63)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 20 of 40)
59
Total Points Won
44
L
6-3 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Henrique Rocha
Player
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
61% ( 43 of 71)
1st Serve %
67% ( 35 of 52)
3
Aces
0
5
Double Faults
2
56% ( 24 of 43)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 21 of 35)
64% ( 18 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 7 of 17)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
60% ( 3 of 5)
41% ( 29 of 71)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 24 of 52)
66
Total Points Won
57
W
6-3 6-4 H2H

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